Evidence Advisors, LLC provides clients with discretionary investment management and fiduciary services for corporate retirement plans. Our focus is primarily on building passively managed or index fund portfolios customized to meet our clients’ level of risk. Our investment strategies are strongly based upon the academic research of leaders in the field of finance.

 

Evidence Advisors, LLC takes an “evidence-based” approach to investment management. We believe that there is a significant body of scientific evidence that can be applied to practical investing. We take a straightforward and honest approach when giving advice, which means:

  • Committed to upfront, transparent, and reasonable pricing.
  • Follow a fiduciary standard of care.
  • Fee-based compensation.
  • No proprietary products.

Applying Science to Investing

 

Evidence-based investing is the belief that there is a significant body of evidence available to make investment decisions. The evidence suggests there are ways to invest in which we should expect a higher return. 

This video underscores how science has transformed every aspect of our lives, including investing.

 

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Schedule a complimentary "test drive" of our financial planning and investment advisory services.

We will give you an overview of our financial planning process and investment portfolios so you can get a feel for whether Evidence Advisors might be a good fit for you. 

Evidence-Based Investing

Invest on evidence, not emotion.

Our approach is grounded in decades of peer-reviewed financial science — the same research pioneered by Dimensional Fund Advisors — not headlines, hot tips, or hunches.

Principles applied by Evidence Advisors, built on financial science pioneered by Dimensional Fund Advisors.

A philosophy built on research, not reaction.

Evidence Advisors was founded on a simple idea: investment decisions should be backed by data, not conviction. Rather than chasing headlines or trying to out-guess the market, we build portfolios around principles that decades of financial research have shown to hold up over time.

Here are the core ideas that guide every portfolio we build for our clients.

EXHIBIT 01

Embrace market pricing.

Financial markets are remarkably effective information-processing machines. Every day, investors around the world trade an average of $1.1 trillion in stocks, and the resulting prices reflect nearly everything that's known about a company's prospects.1

We start from the belief that prices are, on the whole, fair. Instead of trying to out-think the market, we design portfolios that let its pricing power work for our clients.

$1.1T
Average daily trading volume across world stock markets, 2025.
FIG. 01 — World equity market activity, daily average
EXHIBIT 02

Don't try to outguess the market.

Because prices already reflect available information, few professional stock-pickers manage to beat the market consistently. Of nearly 3,000 U.S. stock funds tracked over the 20 years ending 2025, only 12% survived and outperformed their own benchmark. Bond funds fared only slightly better, at 17%.2

The odds simply aren't in the stock-picker's favor — which is why we favor systematic, evidence-driven portfolios over manager bets.

STOCK FUNDS3,000 at start
12%
12% outperformed their benchmark · 45% survived the full period
BOND FUNDS1,607 at start
17%
17% outperformed their benchmark · 46% survived the full period
FIG. 02 — US-domiciled fund performance, 2006–2025
EXHIBIT 03

Resist chasing past performance.

It's tempting to invest in whatever performed best last year. But past performance is a poor predictor of future results. Among funds that ranked in the top 25% of returns over a five-year stretch between 2006 and 2025, most didn't hold on to that ranking in the following five years.3

Chasing yesterday's winners is, more often than not, chasing noise.

23%
Top-ranked stock funds that stayed on top
34%
Top-ranked bond funds that stayed on top
FIG. 03 — Funds remaining in the top quartile the following 5 years, 2006–2025
EXHIBIT 04

Let markets work for you.

Patience has historically paid. A dollar invested in U.S. stocks in 1975 would have grown many times over by 2025 — comfortably outpacing inflation, and far outpacing the safety of cash. Bonds, too, have rewarded long-term investors, if more modestly.4

Staying invested — not timing the next headline — is what has actually built wealth over time.

US Small Cap
$780
US Large Cap
$402
Long-Term Govt. Bonds
$32
US Treasury Bills
$9
US Inflation
$6
FIG. 04 — Growth of $1, 1975–2025, compounded monthly (bar length uses a compressed scale)
EXHIBIT 05

Target higher expected returns.

Decades of academic research have identified certain dimensions of stocks and bonds that are associated with higher expected returns over time.5 We structure client portfolios to systematically emphasize these dimensions, rather than trying to guess which individual stock or bond will outperform.

Stocks

Company Size

Smaller companies have tended to outperform larger companies over time.

Relative Price

Lower-priced "value" stocks have tended to outperform higher-priced "growth" stocks.

Profitability

Companies with high profitability have tended to outperform those with low profitability.

Bonds

Term

Wider term spreads have generally led to higher expected returns.

Credit

Wider credit spreads have generally led to higher expected returns.

Currency

Global currencies of issuance can offer opportunities for higher expected returns and reduced volatility.

EXHIBIT 06

Diversify internationally.

Limiting a portfolio to your home market means limiting your opportunity set. The S&P 500, for example, covers 500 companies in a single country. A globally diversified portfolio can include more than 8,000 companies across 47 countries.6

That broader footprint puts clients in position to capture higher expected returns wherever they appear, while reducing reliance on any single economy.

Home Market
S&P 500 Index
1 country
500 companies
Global Market
MSCI ACWI IMI
47 countries
8,130 companies
FIG. 05 — Countries and companies as of Dec. 31, 2025 (bar length compressed for readability)
EXHIBIT 07

Avoid market timing.

There's no reliable way to predict which days the market will post its best returns — and missing even a handful of them can meaningfully hurt long-term results. $1,000 invested in the Russell 3000 Index from 2001 through 2025 grew to $8,360. Miss just the single best week of that 25-year period, and the ending value falls to $6,977. Miss the best six months, and it drops to $5,425.7

Staying invested is what keeps clients in position for the market's best days, since no one can reliably predict when they'll happen.

$8,360
Full 25-year period
$6,977
Missed best week
$6,676
Missed best month
$5,893
Missed best 3 months
$5,425
Missed best 6 months
FIG. 06 — Growth of $1,000, Russell 3000 total return, 2001–2025
Field Note

Look beyond the headlines.

Financial headlines are built to grab attention, not to guide long-term decisions. A steady diet of "funds to buy now" and "the next downturn is coming" can tempt even disciplined investors off course.

"10 Stocks to Buy Before It's Too Late" "Why This Could Be the Start of a Recession" "The Only Investment You'll Ever Need"

When a headline unsettles you, ask whether it's news or entertainment — then tune out the noise and stick to your plan.

EXHIBIT 08

Manage your emotions.

Markets rise and fall, and it's natural for emotions to rise and fall with them. Optimism can turn to greed near a market peak, tempting investors to buy in right before a downturn; fear near a market bottom can tempt investors to sell at exactly the wrong time.

Recognizing this cycle — and having a disciplined plan and an advisor to lean on — helps prevent reactive decisions that can derail long-term goals.

OPTIMISM NERVOUSNESS OPTIMISM Buy? GREED FEAR Sell?
FIG. 07 — The cycle of investor emotion. For illustrative purposes only.
Our Process

Control what you can control.

You can't control which way the market moves next. You can control how your portfolio is built and managed — and that's where we focus.

  • 01

    Build a plan around your goals and risk tolerance.

  • 02

    Structure your portfolio around the dimensions of expected returns.

  • 03

    Diversify globally.

  • 04

    Manage costs, turnover, and taxes.

  • 05

    Stay disciplined through the market's highs and lows.

Ready to put this philosophy to work?

Let's talk about what an evidence-based approach means for your specific goals, timeline, and risk tolerance.

Sources & Disclosures

  1. In USD. Source: Dimensional, using data from Bloomberg LP. Includes primary and secondary exchange trading volume globally for equities; funds are excluded.
  2. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Based on US-domiciled mutual funds and ETFs in existence at the start of the 20-year period ending Dec. 31, 2025, each evaluated against its primary prospectus benchmark. Non-Dimensional fund data provided by Morningstar; Dimensional fund data provided by the fund accountant.
  3. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Based on US-domiciled funds ranked in the top quartile of returns over rolling five-year periods, 2006–2025.
  4. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; their performance does not reflect the fees and expenses associated with managing an actual portfolio. Growth of a dollar is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only.
  5. Relative price is measured by the price-to-book ratio; value stocks are those with lower price-to-book ratios. Profitability is measured as operating income before depreciation and amortization, minus interest expense, scaled by book equity.
  6. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuation and political instability; investing in emerging markets can accentuate these risks. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. Figures as of Dec. 31, 2025.
  7. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Hypothetical example for illustrative purposes only; assumes reinvestment of income and no transaction costs or taxes.
This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation of any security, strategy, or account type. It should not be relied upon as the sole basis for an investment decision. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal, and diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. Please consult a financial professional regarding your individual circumstances before making investment decisions. Evidence Advisors, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Concepts on this page are based on research originally developed by Dimensional Fund Advisors LP, used here with permission.

Important Documents and Links

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